Lonegan’s Results Should Fire Up Republicans in Legislative District 1
OK folks, obviously the biggest news from Wednesday night’s election results is that we are sending another unqualified Democrat to Washington DC. But since we have another election in a few weeks, its time to suck it up and play through the pain.
Ironically, these results should also provide Republicans in District 1 with incentive to unseat Jeff Van Drew, Arrogant Nelson Albano and Bob Andrzejcak and cause Democrats to panic and ask the party boss/NJEA funded, Harry Reid disciple-led SuperPAC for more money.
Some say it’s impossible to compare a special election’s results to a general. I don’t think that’s true without qualification.
District 1 composes all of Cape May County, three towns from Atlantic County and most of Cumberland County. Unfortunately for us, only Cape May County currently provides election results broken down by town, so this analysis includes some guestimating…
Steve Lonegan most likely won District 1. He won Cape May County big time, 59% to 40%, with a 3,312 vote difference. Lonegan lost Atlantic and Cumberland Counties, but he lost each county overall by only about 500 votes in each county. So even though we can’t break-down the Lonegan/Booker numbers in Cumberland and Atlantic quite yet, it’s pretty obvious that Lonegan won District 1. And in Cape May County, Lonegan won big. In 2011, Jeff Van Drew won Cape May County by 16 votes. Hell, Lonegan won Van Drew’s hometown of Dennis Township by 62%-38%. In 2011, Van Drew only got 56% of the vote there.
In fact, of the 16 municipalities that comprise Cape May County, Lonegan significantly improved upon the 2011 GOP performance in 12 of them, two were pretty much the same, and the other 2 turnout was small that percentages are too easily skewed for it to be meaningful.
Republicans of District 1 can do it again in just a few short weeks. Now is not the time to stop our efforts; now is the time to re-double them!
You carried this district against a candidate who outspent you 10-to-1, whom the media loved despite a deeply flawed record, who was never asked a tough question about his record, a candidate who felt it was his birthright to win the race. Doesn’t that sound eerily like Jeff Van Drew, whom we are facing in a few weeks? If we can beat Cory Booker, surely we can beat Van Drew!
These results in District 1 should let every Republican know that Susan Adelizzi-Schmidt, Kris Gabor and Sam Fiocchi can win if we continue to work together and work hard. Because I guarantee you that the Democrats are looking at it that way, too.
The “progressives” over at
the NJEA Garden State Forward are sure to be increasing the big dollars they have already spent in the race. The Democratic political slushfund SuperPAC has already spent $200,000 on keeping Van Drew in office;they’re probably plotting how to push that up to a cool $1,000,000 as you’re reading this post. According to ELEC filings released last Tuesday, the Van Drew ticket has almost no cash on hand; I bet Van Drew has already placed a call to his South Jersey Machine backers to refill the coffers.
We just carried this District last night against a mighty foe. Are we going to let these ultra-liberal groups beat us just weeks later?
Hell No! Let’s all of us keep the momentum going, keep working together, re-double our efforts and win the district even bigger this time!