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Category: Election 2016

Christie Nears Hilldawg, Ties Bush

May. 15 Chris Christie, Election 2016, National 7 comments

New Poll Predicts Potentially Tight 4-Way Race for GOP Nomination

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Clinton and CorzinePublic Policy Polling (PPP), a respected national Democrat-affiliated organization (not always an oxymoronic designation, btw), has released the results of its latest 2016 presidential survey. No surprises.

The prospective GOP Primary pack remains tight; Marco Rubio (16%), Jeb Bush (15%), Chris Christie (15%) and Rand Paul (14%) occupy a field of support with only a 2-point distribution. Oof! It’s anyone’s game as of today, Save Jerseyans, assuming you accept PPP’s data/methodology. I have no reason not to accept it.

And according to PPP, despite potential primary problems looming, the Governor of New Jersey continues to poll the strongest against a Benghazi-embattled Hilldawg of any named GOP’er:

Chris Christie continues to be the only potential Republican candidate who polls competitively with Clinton, trailing her just 47/44. Christie has a 40/32 favorability with Democrats, making him the only potential 2016 contender with any crossover appeal. Clinton holds identical 10 point leads at 51/41 over Paul and Rubio.”

Click here to read PPP’s full analysis and data tables.

Pence for President

Mar. 25 Election 2016, Mike Pence, National 5 comments

Resilient, Principled, and the New Face of Conservatism for 2016?

By Dale Glading | The Save Jersey Blog

Mike PenceI really admire Paul Ryan and I’m a big fan of Marco Rubio. Like many conservatives, I find Rand Paul refreshingly candid. I can even stomach – no pun intended – Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal and Jeb Bush.

And don’t forget John Kasich of Ohio, John Thune of South Dakota and Scott Walker of Wisconsin. All top notch guys who would make a good – if not, great – president.

But my early choice for the Republican nomination for president in 2016 is a relative unknown: Gov. Mike Pence of Indiana.

Pence served six terms in the U.S. House of Representatives, representing the 6th District from January 2001 to January 2013. During that time, he was named one of America’s top ten legislators by Esquire Magazine and elected conference chairman – the party’s third highest position – by his Republican colleagues in the House.

Last year, Pence ran for governor of the Hoosier state when Mitch Daniels was forced to retire due to term limits. He ran an aggressive but fair campaign and won the three-way contest over his Democrat and Libertarian opponents.

But what I like best about Pence is his values.

CONTINUE READING….

Christie Trails Hilldawg in PA

Mar. 15 Chris Christie, Election 2016, Hillary Clinton, National 7 comments

NEW Q POLL: Christie Trails Clinton in Hypothetical Keystone Match Up Partly Due to Weak GOP Support

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Did you catch it? Quinnipiac had a new poll out late yesterday showing Chris Christie trailing Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical 2016 match up across the Delaware River in Pennsylvania. The essential crosstabs for your review, Save Jerseyans:

Q PA Poll - Christie v. Hillary

Pretty interesting, right?

A couple things jump out at me, notably, how Governor Christie is winning Independents but drawing only 79% support from surveyed PA Republicans. 13% of Republicans went with Clinton, and 9% fall into the not sure and/or not backing Christie column.

It’s a long way out, it’s only one poll and, to be fair, Christie performs better than other Republicans included in the poll questions (including Paul Ryan and Marco Rubio). But with demographics being what they are in modern America, Chris Christie can’t win nationally in 2016 (barring an unforeseen political realignment) with weak GOP backing, folks… is it more post-Sandy blow back?

I’d like to hear what YOU think on this one. If you want to delve deeper, this Q poll’s sample is below the fold…

CONTINUE READING….

Perry Ready for Another Run?

Mar. 15 CPAC, Election 2016, National, Republican Party, Rick Perry 5 comments

After Disastrous 2012 Primary Bid, Texas Governor Sounds Like Candidate Again at CPAC

By James Beattie | The Save Jersey Blog

Rick Perry Close-UpTexas Governor Rick Perry was one of the top contenders for the GOP nomination in 2012 until a series of bad debate performances.

That said, Save Jerseyans, his speech at yesterday’s CPAC 2013 session indicates that he may not only be running for re-election in the Lone Star State in 2014, but taking another stab at the White House in 2016.

Perry proclaimed to the energetic crowd that he feels as though he comes from a “foreign country,” where there is a balanced budget, a surplus, all while the legislature meets for only 140 days every other year. If only that were the case in New Jersey!

CONTINUE READING….

Unconcerned By Voter Apathy

Mar. 11 Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016 3 comments

Is Low Election Day Participation Really a Bad Thing? An Analytic Approach to Voter Turnout

By Nicole Sanders | The Save Jersey Blog

Voting BoothsAs a democracy we are privileged to have the ability to vote for those we want to represent us. There was a time when only white men who owned property could vote, then the Fifteenth (15th) Amendment of the Constitution gave black citizens the right to vote and then the Nineteenth (19th) Amendment gave women the right to vote.

Our ancestors before us fought for these rights and today a lot of people seemingly take them for granted. The question becomes “have Americans lost the passion to vote” and is it necessarily a bad thing?

I decided to study the presidential elections of 1988, 1996 and 2004 in an effort to try to answer just that, Save Jerseyans…

Case Study #1 Voter Turnout 1988

First we will start with the presidential election of 1988. During that year, the Republican nominee George H.W. Bush was running against the Democratic candidate Michael Dukakis. Mr. Bush chose then-Senator Dan Quayle to be his running mate and Mr. Dukakis chose then Senator Lloyd Bentsen to be his.

CONTINUE READING….

The GOP’s Sexiness Gap

Jan. 25 Election 2014, Election 2016, National, Republican Party 1 comment

Why the GOP Needs New Faces and Fresh Blood…Now!

By Dale Glading | The Save Jersey Blog

ElephantsHere is the cold-hard truth. Were he alive today and running for president in 2016, Abraham Lincoln would never capture his party’s nomination nor would he stand a chance of winning the general election in November.

Why not? Are his 19th century political positions that out-of-step with present day America?

Hardly. Lincoln’s platform of equality for all people, and the creation of job and housing opportunities for all Americans (see the Homestead Act of 1862) would be as popular today as they were in 1860.

So what’s the problem? Why wouldn’t voters today embrace Lincoln and send him to the White House riding the crest of an electoral landslide?

Simply put, Lincoln lacks the right look. In fact, I’ll go a step further. In today’s telegenic age, Honest Abe simply isn’t sexy enough…

CONTINUE READING….

Now It’s Rand Paul vs. Christie

Jan. 18 Chris Christie, Election 2016, National, Rand Paul, Second Amendment no comments

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

rand and ron paulI’m going to say something with ABSOLUTE certainty, Save Jerseyans, at least as close as a human being can get to certainty: the 2016 GOP Primary may be the most interesting of our lifetime.

It’s far too early to know what will transpire, or even the full composition of the field itself. We can make assumptions, and some sort of Christie vs. Rubio vs. Paul vs. Santorum battle royale has the potential to unite the party’s ideological factions and rejuvenate the beleagured Reagan coalition. Or destroy it once and for all.

Am I the only one who just got a chill?

U.S. Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) (who it’s worth noting was a relatively close ally of Mitt Romney) is the latest potential nominee to stir the pot, criticizing Governor Chris Christie for his characteristically-harsh put down of the NRA for its most recent anti-Obama video. On Friday morning, Paul told radio host Laura Ingraham that “[y]ou have some Republicans backing down like Christie backing down and criticizing the NRA, and I think that doesn’t do us any good… so I think Republicans do need to stand more firmly on this issue.”

CONTINUE READING….

A Tale of Two Christies

Jan. 11 Chris Christie, Election 2016 1 comment

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Christie vs. NewtGovernor Chris Christie had a pretty solid week on the points, Save Jerseyans. His State of the State served its purpose and reelect polling numbers continued to look strong. Very strong.

His chances for reelection certainly are looking strong a little less than ten months out. Some would even call ”strong” an understatement. I’m fine with it; Republicans can never take anything for granted in the Garden State, and no politician worth his salt views ten months as anything other than a lifetime.

But heading into an unusually warm weekend in NJ, Governor Christie’s prospects appear somewhat less certain on the national stage than they once did in recent memory, out over one of the many bridges — or under a tunnel — connecting our little peninsula (not an “isthmus,” kiddies, which is a common mistake) to the rest of these glorious states united.

Two much-discussed articles this week. Two Christies decribed therein. Two very different takes on the big challenges facing America’s favorite big personality and his general trajectory over the next few years…

CONTINUE READING….