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Tag: barack obama

The Lies Keep Getting Bigger

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Obama the LiarCarnage. Absolute carnage. Tens of millions of Americans are losing their health insurance plans, Save Jerseyans, including over 800,000 over our fellow Garden State residents.

Someone who lies is called “a liar.” President Obama repeatedly lied about millions of folks losing their health insurance. The President is, therefore, a liar. Even hardcore lefties like Bill Maher get the joke; the HBO host recently observed that Obama “didn’t lie; he evolved on honesty.” So why is it so hard for so many of our countrymen to form the syllables and admit the obvious?

As with most things, folks, the answer lies in the history books. And you don’t need to dust off too many tomes or reach back very far for the answer.

Let’s revisit the events of January 1998 surrounding one of Obamacare’s most popular and high-profile apologists…


Obama’s Funny Booker Joke

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Not planning on voting tomorrow because you don’t “like” Steve Lonegan, Save Jerseyans?

That’s nice. But you should know that President Obama and his flunkies are showing up regardless of whether you’re there; he cut this web video on Monday to help the campaign GOTV efforts of Cory Booker (D-Twitter):

The best part of the video: when POTUS declares that Cory Booker is a “leader” with “uncommon character.” If that was supposed to be a joke, Mr. President, then you should know that we’re not laughing.


About-Face: Obama Embraces Bain

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Bain CapitalCory Booker (D-Twitter) was for Bain Capital-style venture capital firm before he was against them, Save Jerseyans.

An apparent scolding from Barack Obama’s White House affected a change of heart.

Good news, Mr. Part-Time Mayor! You can go back to embracing capitalism again.

Why? Because after running ads attacking Mitt Romney’s Bain Capital tenure in 2012, President Obama just tapped a Bain executive as his new top economic adviser! (h/t Daily Caller). Mitt ran on the notion that his experience turning around giant, failing corporations made him well-suited to rescue the federal government. President Obama finally concedes the point.

Changing your principles on a daily basis must be exhausting…

Slick Willy Strikes Again

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

President Obama called for “collective action” (shiver) to transform the country during today’s inaugural address.

But some things never change. Like Bill Clinton and his roving eyes… particularly when Kelly Clarkson is on the podium.

Slick Willy

Chris Christie, Hurricane Sandy and the Rules of Crisis Communication

Cross Posted at Dan Cirucci’s Blogspot


Let’s get this out of the way.

People are asking us to opine on the Christie/Obama bear hug so we’re just gonna have to go down this road.

To begin: Just as Chris Christie was the first governor to come out and support Romney and just as Chris Christie worked damned hard for Romney, this blog was among the first to support Chris Christie for governor nearly four years ago and we’ve spent countless hours helping to advance Christie and his agenda and his cause.

And we make no apologies for it. We’re damned proud of it.

We love Chris Christie.

But loving Christie is not like loving any other politician. He’s real, he’s three-dimensional, he’s smart and he can be unpredictable, if not exasperating. Though his quips and answers are often entertaining and may sometimes seem simple, they’re not. They reflect the mind of a man who is relentlessly pragmatic and admirably goal-oriented. This is a man who does not follow — in fact, who defies — any rigid idealogical path. He cannot be pegged or contained or compartmentalized.

So, when Christie saw Superstorm Sandy coming, he had one thought in mind: Get out ahead of it; get ready and use every means at our disposal to help the people of New Jersey — to warn them, to fortify them, to serve them and to protect them.

Having been involved in public relations for more than four decades, we can tell you that by the rules of crisis communication that we teach, Christie instinctively did what he was supposed to do. He became not only the chief spokesperson in this crisis but the unquestioned leader of the response to it.
And he has worked damned hard, without a break for two weeks now often putting in 14 and 20 hour days. Some nights he got little more than five hours sleep.

This sort of thing is all consuming.

And you can quickly lose perspective.


The Six Reasons Why Romney Lost and Obama Won

Cross-Posted from Dan Cirucci’s Blogspot

So, you wanna know the “why” of it all, huh?

Why or why did this happen?

For what it’s worth, here are my top six reasons:

1) Needless GOP bloodshed. The long Republican primary battle was unecessarily contentious and no one epitomized the irrationality of this more than Rick Santorum who continued to take shots at Mitt Romney well past closing time. And Newt Gingrich wasn’t much better. All of this simply set the stage for . . .

2) Obama’s early negative blitz. The Obama team wisely decided to define Romney before he had a chance to define himself. So, they gambled and took a huge chunk of dough early on and invested it in a relentlessly negative ad campaign painting a picture of Romney as a selfish, disconnected corporate titan who cared only about the rich: self-centered, mean, uncaring and greedy. People say they hate negative ads, but people remember negative ads. Since Romney held back and didn’t immediately answer the ads and forcefully counterpunch, this pre-emptive Obama effort worked.


POLL: Who Wins Tuesday… Romney? Or Obama?

Nate Silver and Save Jersey can’t both be right, folks.

Everyone’s pretty sure Dick Morris is wrong. Not because I don’t like his outcome! I’m just a realist, and this country has changed a lot since 1980 (we’re much more diverse, and there’s a lot more people living subsisting on the public dime); Barack Obama is also a significantly stronger incumbent than Jimmy Carter.

I’ve nevertheless predicting a Romney victory for reasons explained here.

We’ll know the answer soon enough. About 36 hours from now? Or sooner if Dick Morris is indeed correct…

What do YOU think? Let’s hear it… and if you’re feeling lucky, give the best argument for your electoral theory in the comments section below…

Who Wins the 2012 Presidential Election? free polls 

Final Electoral Projection (No Toss Ups): Romney 320, Obama 218

Save Jersey's Final Electoral Projection (No Leaners): Romney 320, Obama 218

One day to go, Save Jerseyans.

Building off of our final 11/2/12 projection (without toss ups included), I’ve decided to take a shot in the dark and eliminate leaners/toss ups from our final Save Jersey electoral projection. This is my political nerd version of living dangerously…

The same basic methodological rules apply as before. Of particular note, I’m still refusing to put any stock in absurd polls with turnout models that will never be realized. Case in point? Last night’s CNN poll (akin to a recent Q poll in VA) wherein Mitt Romney manages to (1) win Independents by 22-points but (2) still finds himself tied with the President, 49-49, owing to a… D+11 turnout model? When Dems managed just D+7 in ’08?

Yeah, right!

Thirteen states, one post, 320 electoral votes projected for Mitt Romney…


Projected Winner: Obama

Think Arizona, but significantly more Hispanic and with a strong union-backed machine based in and around Las Vegas. All hope still isn’t lost. Obama’s leads are persistent but close and yes, a bit skewed. Lots of NRA members outside of Clark County. There’s also not-so-bad data in certain bellwethers like Washoe County. I’m primarily throwing this one to O because Romney is on the air more than he’s on the ground. He seems to think it’s not his best shot of the Obama so-called “firewall” states. So why should I?

North Carolina

Projected Winner: Romney

Obama is far less attentive to North Carolina than Mitt’s been to Nevada. The President hasn’t been there in some time… a North Carolina convention helped him not at all, and the gay marriage amendment provided a stark demonstration of GOP strength in the wake of 2010. He effectively abandoned the state after initial early voting totals showed OFA upside down versus 2008. Now it’s Romney in a walk.


Like Lemmings Over a Cliff

One of the most advertised and yet under-analyzed themes of this presidential campaign is President Obama’s slogan “Forward”.

It’s been said that Karl Marx used a similar phrase to generate support for his worker’s movement in the 1800’s that resulted in the formation of the Communist Party. Whether Obama and his campaign managers sought to mirror Marx, consciously or unconsciously, is unknown.

However, what we do know is that President Obama is urging voters to support his re-election because “we’ve come too far to turn back now.”

The question is “too far to what?” In what direction are we traveling and what is our ultimate destination? Perhaps more importantly, does the driver have any idea how to operate the vehicle?


Save Jersey Electoral College Projection Map (11/2/12): ROMNEY 285, OBAMA 197

Only 4 full days left to go before Election Day 2012 is decided, Save Jerseyans.

Where does the White House race stand?

Seven (7) states changed position since our last projection on October 24th, and all of them moved in Governor Romney’s direction. Overall, Mitt Romney gained a net of eighteen (18) electoral votes over the past week and Barack Obama lost forty-six (46). Fifty-six (56) are still complete toss-ups, but the winds down the stretch clearly favor Governor Romney.

You’ll also notice a common thread this week: early voting analysis. Why? Larger numbers of Americans are doing it every year. I’m still operating under the educated assumption that many national and state polls are skewed (badly) by using 2008 turnout models. Even in those polls, however, Obama is locked in a close, margin-of-error race despite projected favorable Democrat turnout conditions… not good for him!

THEREFORE, my Save Jersey map assumes Obama is in knee-deep electoral doo-doo anywhere (1) early voting is way down, particularly in his key counties, and (2) the President continues to poll well below the 50% mark (since undecideds this late in the game typically don’t vote at all or break in high percentages to the challenger). Mitt’s ground game is as good or better this time according to most reliable sources. Obama needs at least an Election 2008-ish turnout to stay competitive considering how poorly his early vote operations is performing… 

I’ll explain these latest developments below the fold….


A Little Less Candor and a Little More Discipline

One of the things that people like best about Gov. Chris Christie is his candor.

Sure, sometimes he crosses the line and comes across as both rude and condescending, but most people still find his frank talk refreshing… especially in today’s politically correct world filled with nothing more than sound bites and poll-tested positions.

And it’s not just New Jerseyans that approve of Gov. Christie’s shoot-straight-from-the-hip attitude. Across America, he is arguably the most popular – and yes, polarizing – of the country’s 50 state chief executives.

However, as much as I applaud Gov. Christie’s transparency and his stellar record in office, I cringed at the way he publicly embraced President Obama during his tour of the storm-ravaged Jersey Shore. And I was equally appalled at his incredibly poor choice of words that seemed to throw Governor Romney under the proverbial bus.


What Chris Christie REALLY Said to Barack Obama on Tuesday

There’s a controversy brewing over Governor Christie’s complimentary comments about Barack Obama on Tuesday.

Confused? Well, here’s what really happened...


Wednesday: Obama Joins Christie to Inspect Hurricane Sandy Damage

Details are still forthcoming, Save Jerseyans.

Obama Press Secretary Jay Carney released the following statement:

Tomorrow afternoon, the President will travel to New Jersey where he will join Governor Christie in viewing the storm damage, talking with citizens who are recovering from the storm and thanking first responders who put their lives at risk to protect their communities. Additional scheduling details will be released when they are available.”

Any help the Feds can offer is welcome given the extreme devastation especially in our Jersey Shore counties.



See, I Told You So: Romney is Winning in Ohio

We’re all justifiably concerned about Hurricane Sandy today, Save Jerseyans. Landfall is imminent.

But please don’t lose sight of the fact that life will inevitably go on, state residents will unite to rebuild our communities, neighbors will generously assist those in need… and then we’re going to do our part to elect a brand new POTUS on November 6th. That’s how Americans roll. You can’t keep us down for long.

Distracted Save Jerseyans will consequently find today’s polling news a welcome respite from ad nauseum storm coverage:

Scott Rasmussen shows Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama by 2-points among likely Ohio voters, 48% to 46%.

Cheer up! Just don’t act surprised; yesterday, I told you that Mitt Romney was winning in Ohio despite President Obama’s slim yet consistent lead in the RCP average. I won’t repeat my rationale line-by-line; a quick look at a new contradictory PPP poll should get point across…

Most polls show O coming in below 49% in Ohio, a precarious sign for any incumbent. PPP, however, shows Obama leading 51% to 47% by using a wildly inflated Democrat turnout model (a favorite trick of Obama loyalists this cycle).

All you need to do is dig a little into the PPP poll data tables to reveal its fatal flaws. They have Mitt up 4-point among indies; moreover, the PPP turnout sample is D+8 (D 43%, R 35%, I/O 21%). Not realistic! In 2008, Democrats in Ohio enjoyed a D+5 advantage. In 2008, Republicans produced a R+5 turnout. So according to PPP’s logic, Obama now needed better than ’08 turnout to triumph. Good luck with that, Axelrod. The PPP also Ohio poll assumes that roughly 36% of poll participants are actually early voters, among whom Obama posts a massive 27% advantage. That margin may hold, but as of now, only about 20% of raw Ohio likely voters have voted early. You don’t have to be a math genius to understand how that remarkable assumption might skew PPP’s results in the President’s favor.

Take heart, stormed battered Save Jerseyans. Mitt is winning in Ohio. Take it to the bank.

Obama Continues to Lie About Benghazi on Denver Television (VIDEO)

President Barack Obama was on KUSA-TV in battleground Colorado today.

The local reporter did a great job with the interview, Save Jerseyans; Obama, for his part, continued to lie with impunity, claiming we still need to “find out exactly what happened” despite the fact that his White House knew who had claimed responsibility within hours of the attack

Can you believe the brass ones on this guy???

Interestingly, Obama went on to promise “that everyone in the state department, our military, the CIA, you name it, had [the] number one priority [of] making sure that people were safe.”

The CIA, huh?

Decorated General and current CIA director David Petraeus issued a statement earlier today promising “[n]o one at any level in the CIA told anybody not to help those in need; claims to the contrary are simply inaccurate. ” That contradicts an earlier report from Fox News.

So WHO told the CIA to stand down? Director Petraeus said no one “in the CIA” gave the order. Did the White House? This rabbit hole is endless…


Zero Post-Debate Bounce for Obama; Romney Hits 50% in 3 of 4 Thursday Polls

With two nights of post-final debate polling in the can, Save Jerseyans, we still haven’t see a bounce for the President despite the best attempts of some to portray his performance as a “points” victory. Mitt Romney led by 0.9 in the RCP average before the debate, and he’s up by 0.9 today.

I told you “points” victories are less important than perception/expectation considerations and, thus far anyway, I’ve been proven correct.

Don’t act so surprised!

You also shouldn’t be surprised that Governor Romney continues to improve quicker than President Obama’s polling position is deteriorating…

Of the 4 national public polls released today (with polling sample periods through yesterday, 10/14/12), Romney hits the magic 50% in 3 of 4. Obama reaches only 47% in the one poll showing him ahead; that’s a dangerously low place for an incumbent to be 12-days out. Moreover, of the last 10 national public polls, Romney leads in 6 (with a 2.83-point average), Obama is ahead in 3 (with an average lead of 2.33-points), and in one poll they’re completely tied. Obama cracked 48% in just one survey.

What’s happening? A lot. For starters, Mitt Romney has virtually erased the gender gap (a development reflected in a new AP poll with interviews through 10/23/12).

So don’t get bummed out by Democrat/MSM/MSNBC spin regarding the Electoral College, folks. Polling is still trending decisively in Mitt’s direction. Unskewed polling averages (utilizing hybrid ’08/’04 turnout models instead of unrealistic ’08 once-in-a-generation-pro-Democrat models) show Mitt with comfortably more than the 270 required to win; Ohio in particular is better than it looks, and NRO has a great article explaining why today (hint: skewed poll analysis).  I’m going to carefully watch the results and continue to consult with people in-the-know through the weekend, but I wouldn’t be shocked if more progress for Governor Romney is reflected in our next Save Jersey Electoral College Projection.

Have I ever misled you?


Save Jersey Electoral College Projection (10/24/12): ROMNEY 267, OBAMA 243

Only 13 days left to go before Election Day 2012, Save Jerseyans.

And guess what? As I sat down to prepare my latest Electoral College projection, I once again realized why Barack Obama looked so desperate — and Romney so calm by comparison — at Monday’s final presidential debate. Mitt Romney is winning this race. Is it in the bag? No, but the President is about a week away from the point of no return. Did the last debate help him at all? I doubt it; we’ll know for sure later today since the Wednesday tracking poll results include the first post-debate sample.

Where did we stand on debate eve?

Five (5) states changed hands: two (2) moved in the President’s direction, and three (3) moved towards Governor Romney. Overall, Mitt Romney gained a net of ten (10) electoral votes since our last survey, and Barack Obama netted six (6). Eighteen (18) are still complete toss-ups. I’ll explain these developments below the fold….