Tag: election 2012
The Six Reasons Why Romney Lost and Obama Won
Cross-Posted from Dan Cirucci’s Blogspot
So, you wanna know the “why” of it all, huh?
Why or why did this happen?
For what it’s worth, here are my top six reasons:
1) Needless GOP bloodshed. The long Republican primary battle was unecessarily contentious and no one epitomized the irrationality of this more than Rick Santorum who continued to take shots at Mitt Romney well past closing time. And Newt Gingrich wasn’t much better. All of this simply set the stage for . . .
2) Obama’s early negative blitz. The Obama team wisely decided to define Romney before he had a chance to define himself. So, they gambled and took a huge chunk of dough early on and invested it in a relentlessly negative ad campaign painting a picture of Romney as a selfish, disconnected corporate titan who cared only about the rich: self-centered, mean, uncaring and greedy. People say they hate negative ads, but people remember negative ads. Since Romney held back and didn’t immediately answer the ads and forcefully counterpunch, this pre-emptive Obama effort worked.
This Isn’t Over. Not By a Long Shot!
Be of good cheer, Save Jerseyans.
Yesterday’s Gallup Poll of registered voters shows Mitt Romney trailing Barack Obama by only 1-point (47% to 46%).
Obama led John McCain by 4-points (49% to 45%) on that same date in 2008. And keep in mind… the Gallup Poll leans left (it predicted 13-point Obama victory in ’08 but the final result was a 7.2-point Obama win) and registered voter polls tend to lean Democratic, too.
Better yet, the GOP-leaning Rasmussen Reports had Romney up 2-points nationally on Tuesday and, interestingly, up 2-points in Colorado. Scott Rasmussen had the national race tied four years ago on the advent of the financial crisis… one week later, he found McCain trailing by 5-points.
A little contrast? The RCP average is still populated by registered voter polls; the most recent is an NBC/WSJ poll showing Obama up by 5-points nationally (50% to 45%).This poll in particular has 32% Dems and 25% Republicans (42% to 37% including leaners)… close to the ideal Democrat 2008 turnout model.
This is a tie ball game, folks. We still have four debates and plenty of pro-Romney money to go through before November 6th. The polls are wrong and media outlets are trying to break your spirit with the goal of keeping you away from the polls/phone banks/tea party meetings. KEEP THE FAITH. Save Jersey is a “naysayer free” zone through November 6th…
Kyrillos Crisscrosses New Jersey on Independence Day
U.S. Senate hopeful, State Senator Joe Kyrillos (R-Monmouth), campaigning on the Fourth of July in Ridgewood, New Jersey.
New Jersey was truly the “Crossroads of the American Revolution,” Save Jerseyans.
State Senator Joe Kyrillos (R-Monmouth) seemed to cross plenty of roadways throughout the Garden State for yesterday’s Independence Day celebrations.
He visited Fourth of July festivities held by six municipalities in four counties: Ridgewood (Bergen), Ridgewood (Bergen), Little Falls (Passaic), Clifton (Passaic), Cranford (Union), and Edison (Middlesex).
The campaign certainly rolls on but, with about five months left to go before Election Day, there haven’t been any significant changes in the electoral dynamic.
Senator Kyrillos continued to trail incumbent Bob Menendez in the most recent public surveys though Menendez also continues to suffer from less-than-steller job approval and name recognition. The latest FEC reports reflect a 6-to-1 “cash on hand” advantage for Menendez though these latest totals fail to reflect the proceeds of both a Kyrillos-Romney fundraiser and a Menendez-Clinton event.
Kyrillos Continues Statewide Summertime Jobs Tour
Most New Jersey voters have yet to engage this year’s U.S. Senate contest, Save Jerseyans.
All the more reason for the challenger, State Senator Joe Kyrillos (R-Monmouth), to crisscross New Jersey and drum-up support.
He was in Hoboken on Sunday touring the Garden Street Mew’s Farmers Market and Pier A at the Waterfront…
Mitt Romney is Better Off Without Sarah Palin’s Endorsement
The media is out trying to a fake create controversy regarding Governor Mitt Romney and his march to the White House. It’s all based on the fact that Sarah Palin, the former half-term Governor of Alaska and Vice Presidential candidate, has yet to formally say the words, “I support Governor Mitt Romney for President,” verbatim.
The story began within the last few days when Tucker Carlson’s The Daily Caller jumped on the fact that Palin did not utter Romney’s name once in the 35-minute address at last weekend’s RightOnline Convention.
The Daily Caller left out of the story that RightOnline was sponsored by Americans for Prosperity which is a 502 (c) (3) and, as such, is forbidden to endorse a political candidate because of their tax status.
Smelling a continuation of the conservatives vs. Romney narrative from the primary, noted leftist news site POLITICO (infamous for railroading Herman Cain) couldn’t help themselves and attempted to pour gasoline on this fabricated fire. Then the site The Daily Beast linked to POLITICO’s article. Governor Palin has stated that she would vote for the Republican candidate regardless of who it was because the other name on the ballot would be Barack Obama. Her words exactly:
We have a presumptive nominee now in the GOP process after a good competitive and very spirited competition to find that presumptive nominee and, yes, if that vote were to be taken today, obviously I would vote for President — for Gov. Romney over President Barack Obama in a heartbeat.
But why is Sarah Palin’s endorsement so darn important, Save Jerseyans?
U.S. Chamber of Commerce & Influential Tea Party Back Jon Runyan in NJ-3
Congratulations are in order for our friend U.S. Rep. Jon Runyan (R-NJ), who today earned the formal backing of America’s largest pro-business organization – the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
“At no time in our nation’s history has it been more critical that Members of Congress provide leadership that protects and advances the interests of the business community,” wrote Chamber President Thomas J. Donohue in his endorsement letter. “We believe that your re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives will help produce sustained economic growth, help create more jobs, and get our country back on track. We will encourage the business community to vigorously support your candidacy.”
Runyan also earned the support today of the influential Independence Hall Tea Party PAC whose Philly-based organization boasts many members and deep ties in neighboring Burlington County and the larger South Jersey region where Runyan’s NJ-3 district is situated. Last month, Mitt Romney addressed the org (watch full video) with many NJ pols in attendance including Runyan and U.S. Senate Candidate Joe Kyrillos (R-Monmouth).
“As supporters of one of the most fiscally conservative House of Representatives in modern history, incumbents Chris Smith (NJ-4) and Jon Runyan (NJ-3) have also earned our unanimous endorsement,” said Burlington County resident and PAC NJ Vice President Bill Green.
As you’re already aware, Rep. Runyan is facing off against NJ-3 resident Shelley Adler (D-Cherry Hill) this November. She has yet to take a position on ObamaCare’s repeal, an issue near and dear to the membership of both the U.S. Chamber and the Independence Hall Tea Party.
Name ID Wars: Kyrillos Says He’ll Get There; Menendez Blames Lack of Exposure?
U.S. Senate hopeful Joe Kyrillos (R-Monmouth) recently sat down with NJ Today Managing Editor Mike Schneider to discuss his campaign.
Of particular interest? The Republican’s fundraising ability (ample) and low name recognition (undeniable) were featured prominently in Schneider’s line of questioning; refusing to allow a negative inference to supplant a potentially positive one, Senator Kyrillos continued to assert that (1) he’ll have plenty of dough to be viable against incumbent Bob Menendez and (2) how his name recognition will be where it needs to be by Election Day:
Senator Menendez also recently appeared on NJ Today (about two weeks ago), at which time Mike Schneider asked the incumbent about his own weak name id with the same voters whom he’s represented for six years in the U.S. Senate.
His answer: Lack of exposure?
Governors get more attention? Really?
Next time, Schneider should ask Hudson Bob how much “major” or “national” media exposure Corzine, Codey, Donald D., Whitman and Florio ever garnered during their time in the State House? Not nearly as much as Governor Christie… combined. And Christie’s done it in less than three years! Not even that pervert McGreevey with his lame and insulting ”Gay American” speech can hold a candle to Christie’s celebrity.
What does this little bit of history tell us? You have to DO something important/interesting/courageous to be noticed, Senator! Governor Christie is shaking things up in Trenton. You’re a wallflower in Washington, D.C.; we can’t even get you to ask any tough questions (or mention your old pal Corslime’s name?) during the Senate Banking Committee’s MF Global “investigation.” THAT was another chance to stand out and do the right thing. You just blew it.
The bottom line: Bob Menendez has no one to blame for his obscurity but Bob Menendez. Kyrillos does have an excuse until October-ish. The proverbial “rubber” will have needed to “hit the road” by then or it may be lights out!
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