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Tag: Poll

Trick-or-Stump: Christie Spends Halloween on RGA Circuit

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

christie pumpkinWith the race for control of America’s governors’ mansions all tied-up per the RCP average and his political street cred on the line, Save Jerseyans, RGA Chairman Chris Christie is spending the final 12o hours leading up to Election Day on the road shoring up some of his priority candidates… including Scott Walker! So calm down, conspiracy theorists.

Details via the RGA:

On Friday, Governor Christie will travel to Arkansas to attend an event for GOP Gubernatorial Nominee Asa Hutchinson, to Kansas to attend events for Governor Sam Brownback and the RGA, and then to Wisconsin to attend events for Governor Scott Walker.

CONTINUE READING….

New Poll: The Cho-sen One Fades Away

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

choA dominant debate performance? Late deciders breaking Republican in a GOP year? Having decided that the challenger is an empty suit? Or a renewed campaign war room seriousness after a polling scare?

Whatever the causation may be, Save Jersey, Monmouth’s Polling Institute now finds Rep. Scott Garret moving into a comfortable 11-point lead ahead of his Democrat challenger, Roy Cho, in NJ-05.

53% of likely voters now back Garrett while 42% support Cho, up from the modest 48% to 43% lead the incumbent registered in Monmouth’s survey released October 15th. 

CONTINUE READING….

Stockton Poll: MacArthur up overall but losing Burlco

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

macarthur poll

MacArthur talks to members of the VFW (District 12) on Tuesday evening.

A new Stockton poll suggests more movement in Tom MacArthur’s direction, Save Jerseyans, riding a 5-point lead over Aimee Belgard in NJ-03.

MacArthur leads 46% to 41% with 8% undecided and 5% passing on both the Republican and Democrat candidates. He’s up 6-points with leaners included. The last Stockton poll from September 15th had the pair tied at 42%. 

Interestingly, it’s weak support among Democrats that’s holding Belgard back; she’s winning only 75% of Democrats whereas MacArthur is supported by 84% of Republicans. MacArthur’s 5-point lead among unaffiliated voters mirrors his overall margin.

CONTINUE READING….

#NJSen Poll Average: Booker Leads by 15.6-points

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

safe_imageWe’ve got one *new* poll out with under one week to go before New Jersey decides whether to give former one-cell zygote Cory Booker (D-Twitter) a full term in the U.S. Senate, Save Jerseyans, and it reflects a 2-point closer race than what YouGov found a few weeks ago:

CONTINUE READING….

Stockton: LoBiondo Leads by 18-Points

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

lobiondo signsBill Hughes, Jr. is turning out to be a bigger flop than The Adventures of Pluto Nash, Save Jerseyans!

A new Stockton poll released Tuesday found Frank LoBiondo leading the Democratic challenger by a whopping 18-points, 53% to 34%, in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District among 600 surveyed likely voters.

CONTINUE READING….

GOP Will Take A Beating Nov. 4, No Matter What

By Dan Cirucci | Dan Cirucci’s Blogspot

ElephantsNo matter how the November 4 mid-term elections turn out the GOP will take it on the chin.

They’ll take a beating.

You bet they will.

No, not necessarily at the polls. That’s not what we’re talking about.

The Republicans will take a beating from the biased, dominant media — the three big networks, the New York Times, New Yorker, MessNBC, Washington Post, LA Times, PBS, NPR, etc. etc. – that whole crowd.

Here’s what the imitative, dominant, unithink media will say:

CONTINUE READING….

#NJSen Polling Avg: Booker +16

By Staff | The Save Jersey Blog

njsen10 days:

  • Monmouth (10/2 – 10/5,  477 LV) — Booker +15 / 53% to 38%
  • Quinnipiac (9/25 – 9/29, 1058 LV) — Booker +11 / 51% to 40%

 

Booker Cruising But House Dems Hitting Red Lights

Big Dem PAC Bolts NJ-03; and Cho Chooses to Vote Where?

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

cho and belgardYou can blame gerrymandering to some degree, sure, and the national political climate isn’t hospitable to Democrats this time around, but Roy Cho (D, NJ-05) and Aimee Belgard (D, NJ-03) also can’t seem to get out of their own way.

They can’t blame the top of the ticket. Cory Booker (D-Twitter) leads his Republican opponent, Jeff Bell, by no less than 16-points in the latest FDU poll out Tuesday morning, Save Jerseyans. 

CONTINUE READING….

Lobo! Leads Hughes by 21pts

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Frank LobiondoNot even close.

That’s the finding of the Monmouth University Polling Institute in its new poll of NJ-02, Save Jerseyans, where Republican incumbent Frank Lobiondo (56%) leads Democrat challenger Bill Hughes, Jr. (35%) by a whopping 21-points.

His opponent’s weak party support (only 76% among Democrats) tells most of the story in this Cook PVI D+1 district. “LoBiondo has held his seat for two decades because of significant crossover appeal in a district that otherwise trends Democratic,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

CONTINUE READING….

Cho Proves Lies Can Get You Close

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Scott Garrett

Scott Garrett

It looks as if Rep. Scott Garrett could, after all, end up having the longest election night of any New Jersey incumbent this year, Save Jerseyans, assuming new survey results from Patrick Murray’s Monmouth Polling Institute are accurate.

Monmouth found Garrett (48%) leading challenger Roy Cho (43%) by only 5-points with 6% undecided.  Garrett was re-elected by 12-points in the 2012 “Obama year.”

 “This race was not even a blip on most political prognosticators’ radar screens.  It should be now,” said Murray, who serves as director at the Polling Institute.

CONTINUE READING….

Christie, Brownback Scream for Ice Cream (VIDEO)

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

The latest polling suggests that Gov. Sam Brownback (R-KS) may yet overcome a tough challenge from Democrat Paul Davis in the Sunflower State, Save Jerseyans, so Gov. Chris Christie dropped by on Monday to try and lend a hand… and eat some stuff that’s not on his diet at Freddy’s Frozen Custard in Wichita:

Monmouth Poll: MacArthur Leads Belgard by 10

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Aimee Belgard (left) and Tom MacArthur (right)

Aimee Belgard (left) and Tom MacArthur (right)

This one might be close to over, Save Jerseyans. At least as far as the DCCC is concerned.

The Monmouth Polling Institute, New Jersey’s most accurate 2013 public political survey outfit, found Tom MacArthur (R) leading Aimee Belgard (D) by 10-points in its first NJ-03 general election polling results released Tuesday.

51% of likely voters backed the former Randolph Township mayor; 41% support the Burlington County Freeholder and another 2% aren’t committed.

Click here to read the full report…

CONTINUE READING….

CBS News Poll: Bad News For Dems, Obama

By Dan Cirucci | Dan Cirucci’s Blogspot

PelosiThere’s a new CBS News poll out that has very bad news for President Obama and the Democrats.

But you have to drill all the way down into the poll’s figures to find the bad news.
Apparently, CBS doesn’t want you to find the negative figures but they’re there and they are stark.

Here’s what the poll says:

  • Only 29% of those surveyed think Obama’s policies have made America safer while a whopping 69% say his policies have made us less safe of have had no effect.

CONTINUE READING….

Christie Unpopular in Perennially Wrong Poll

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Polling StationWe have new Rutgers-Eagleton poll results out today that show Governor Chris Christie’s approval rating upside down at 42% favorable to 45% unfavorable.

Okay. There’s no doubt he’s down across the board from this time last year, Save Jerseyans. No question about it. And most of the reasons for the trend are obvious. But as I have detailed for you in the past, the Rutgers-Eagleton Poll is our state’s least consistent survey. They’ve always got the margin wrong. In every big race. Every single time.

Not trying to be mean but it is what it is.

Just take that for whatever it’s worth. I’m going to continue to take every Rutgers-Eagleton release with a grain of salt until they get one right. Click here if you want to check it out anyway.