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Tag: Poll

#NJSen Polling Avg: Booker +16

By Staff | The Save Jersey Blog

njsen10 days:

  • Monmouth (10/2 – 10/5,  477 LV) — Booker +15 / 53% to 38%
  • Quinnipiac (9/25 – 9/29, 1058 LV) — Booker +11 / 51% to 40%


Booker Cruising But House Dems Hitting Red Lights

Big Dem PAC Bolts NJ-03; and Cho Chooses to Vote Where?

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

cho and belgardYou can blame gerrymandering to some degree, sure, and the national political climate isn’t hospitable to Democrats this time around, but Roy Cho (D, NJ-05) and Aimee Belgard (D, NJ-03) also can’t seem to get out of their own way.

They can’t blame the top of the ticket. Cory Booker (D-Twitter) leads his Republican opponent, Jeff Bell, by no less than 16-points in the latest FDU poll out Tuesday morning, Save Jerseyans. 


Lobo! Leads Hughes by 21pts

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Frank LobiondoNot even close.

That’s the finding of the Monmouth University Polling Institute in its new poll of NJ-02, Save Jerseyans, where Republican incumbent Frank Lobiondo (56%) leads Democrat challenger Bill Hughes, Jr. (35%) by a whopping 21-points.

His opponent’s weak party support (only 76% among Democrats) tells most of the story in this Cook PVI D+1 district. “LoBiondo has held his seat for two decades because of significant crossover appeal in a district that otherwise trends Democratic,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.


Cho Proves Lies Can Get You Close

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Scott Garrett

Scott Garrett

It looks as if Rep. Scott Garrett could, after all, end up having the longest election night of any New Jersey incumbent this year, Save Jerseyans, assuming new survey results from Patrick Murray’s Monmouth Polling Institute are accurate.

Monmouth found Garrett (48%) leading challenger Roy Cho (43%) by only 5-points with 6% undecided.  Garrett was re-elected by 12-points in the 2012 “Obama year.”

 “This race was not even a blip on most political prognosticators’ radar screens.  It should be now,” said Murray, who serves as director at the Polling Institute.


Christie, Brownback Scream for Ice Cream (VIDEO)

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

The latest polling suggests that Gov. Sam Brownback (R-KS) may yet overcome a tough challenge from Democrat Paul Davis in the Sunflower State, Save Jerseyans, so Gov. Chris Christie dropped by on Monday to try and lend a hand… and eat some stuff that’s not on his diet at Freddy’s Frozen Custard in Wichita:

Monmouth Poll: MacArthur Leads Belgard by 10

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Aimee Belgard (left) and Tom MacArthur (right)

Aimee Belgard (left) and Tom MacArthur (right)

This one might be close to over, Save Jerseyans. At least as far as the DCCC is concerned.

The Monmouth Polling Institute, New Jersey’s most accurate 2013 public political survey outfit, found Tom MacArthur (R) leading Aimee Belgard (D) by 10-points in its first NJ-03 general election polling results released Tuesday.

51% of likely voters backed the former Randolph Township mayor; 41% support the Burlington County Freeholder and another 2% aren’t committed.

Click here to read the full report…


CBS News Poll: Bad News For Dems, Obama

By Dan Cirucci | Dan Cirucci’s Blogspot

PelosiThere’s a new CBS News poll out that has very bad news for President Obama and the Democrats.

But you have to drill all the way down into the poll’s figures to find the bad news.
Apparently, CBS doesn’t want you to find the negative figures but they’re there and they are stark.

Here’s what the poll says:

  • Only 29% of those surveyed think Obama’s policies have made America safer while a whopping 69% say his policies have made us less safe of have had no effect.


Christie Unpopular in Perennially Wrong Poll

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Polling StationWe have new Rutgers-Eagleton poll results out today that show Governor Chris Christie’s approval rating upside down at 42% favorable to 45% unfavorable.

Okay. There’s no doubt he’s down across the board from this time last year, Save Jerseyans. No question about it. And most of the reasons for the trend are obvious. But as I have detailed for you in the past, the Rutgers-Eagleton Poll is our state’s least consistent survey. They’ve always got the margin wrong. In every big race. Every single time.

Not trying to be mean but it is what it is.

Just take that for whatever it’s worth. I’m going to continue to take every Rutgers-Eagleton release with a grain of salt until they get one right. Click here if you want to check it out anyway.

Despite the Odds, #NJSen Might Be a Single Digit Race

By Alyssa Lafage | The Save Jersey Blog

booker bellJeff Bell has run a solid, issues-based campaign that, until recently, received little to no meaningful coverage from the mainstream press. 

As you well know Save Jerseyans, they only pay attention when the script fits their narrative.

But despite their disinterest in reporting on Bell’s ideas, like how to reign in government spending or how to restore the strength of the U.S. Dollar, a recent Stockton poll shows that Bell has moved to within single digits of social media darling Cory Booker (D-Twitter):


Cook: NJ-03 Looking Bad for Dems

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

South Jersey's CD3

South Jersey’s CD3

Wondering why Aimee Belgard/NJ Dems need to troll Craigslist for volunteers, Save Jerseyans? Read about her last debate. And then check there’s this updated race outlook from the Cook Political Report... 

Now it looks like he is willing to spend whatever it takes to beat Democratic Burlington County Freeholder Aimee Belgard,” reports Cook’s David Wasserman, “while Democrats are in retreat after an attack ad badly backfired.”


Christie to Rally with Embattled Corbett

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

christie corbettPA Governor Tom Corbett has consistently trailed his Democrat opponent Tom Wolf by double-digit margins in head-to-head polling since last fall, Save Jerseyans, but that hasn’t stopped RGA Chairman Chris Christie from spending considerable time (and treasure) in the Keystone state.

With under four weeks to go before Election Day, Christie will rally with Corbett at the Valley Forge Military Academy on Thursday, October 9th. Appropriate location, right?

Gov. Christie may need help jump-starting deflated PA GOP’er spirits. For starters, he could talk about how Corbett is a clone – ideologically and physically – of Jon Corzine. Seriously… it’s creepy.

The RGA had already invested nearly $2 million in the Pennsylvania gubernatorial race as of September. Thanks in large part to the sinking fortunes of Corbett and his colleague Rick Scott (R-FL), RCP’s rolling poll average conglomeration presently projects a national Democrat net pick-up of +2


#NJSen Poll: Booker Leads Bell By 15

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Jeff BellThis one is slipping away without at least the “modest infusion” invoked in George Will’s #njsen piece, Save Jerseyans.

A new poll from the typically-reliable Monmouth University Polling Institute reports Cory Booker (D-Twitter) leading Republican U.S. Senate challenger Jeff Bell by 15-points, 53% to 38%

“Booker is on track to receive a full term in the U.S. Senate,” said Patrick Murray, the Polling Institute’s director. “Bell does somewhat better among those who are old enough to have voted the last time he appeared on a New Jersey ballot. However, few of them appear to remember him all that well.”

Click here to read the full polling report.


NJ-03 Update: MacArthur Leads Internal Poll; DCCC Drops New Ad

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

MacArthur rallies with supporters prior to 10/2 Moorestown candidate forum.

MacArthur rallies with supporters prior to 10/2 Moorestown candidate forum.

Can anyone say they know exactly where the NJ-03 race stands? At this moment?

It’s an open question, Save Jerseyans, especially since we’ve only seen one general election cycle public poll released. That Stockton poll showed a tie, 42% to 42%. The only other polls released are internal: a DCCC poll from on October 1st showing Aimee Belgard up by one (43% to 42%) and, today, Adam Geller (Christie’s pollster) released a polling memo reporting Tom MacArthur leading by 7-points.

What we know? (1) This is likely a single-digit race, and (2) slanderous DCCC advertising + the reality of an open seat have somewhat evened the odds for Belgard in a district, and a cycle, that otherwise favor Republicans ever so slightly.

But keep these two big variables in mind, too, when attempting to handicap the NJ-03 contest…


Will: All Bell Needs is a “Modest Infusion”

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Jeff BellThe senior statesmen of conservative media continue to advocate for the candidacy of Jeff Bell, Save Jerseyans, all despite growing odds and shortening days in the Election 2014 cycle.

This time it’s George Will, saying something we’ve been saying for months, shortly after Bill Kristol weighed in to argue for the viability of the Bell campaign to dethrone Cory Booker (D-Twitter).

From Friday night on the WashPo website: