A little welcome 2016 news last night (Thursday) for Governor Christie, Save Jerseyans, via a Fox News poll of 1,012 registered voters:
Sandy Response Support Skids in New Poll
The big takeaway excerpt of the most recent survey report from Monmouth Pollster Patrick Murray:
Among those residents who live in New Jersey’s hardest hit communities, only 41% are satisfied with the state’s recovery efforts while a decided majority (54%) are dissatisfied. In the remainder of the state, 49% are satisfied while 41% are dissatisfied. This marks the first time that residents of hardest hit communities have shown a significant difference in satisfaction levels when compared to residents in other parts of the state. In prior polls, these two groups’ satisfaction levels differed by no more than five percentage points.
By both definitions of the word?
Context: Governor Christie told Diane Sawyer last month that “they love me in Iowa,” Save Jerseyans, but a new Suffolk University poll out Wednesday strongly suggested that the steady drumbeat of Bridgegate news, manufactured or not, is close to ending the presidential aspirations of the man who these same polls reported could give the GOP its best chance of defeating Hilldawg in 2016.
Governor Chris Christie may have just had his best week of 2014, Save Jerseyans, or at least since January 9th.
We found out on Thursday that the Republican Governors Association (RGA) had posted a whopping $23.5 million in donations for the first quarter of 2014 (January 1st through March 31st), an achievement which is almost 3x better than its previous record high of $9.1 million.
Since Christie took over last November, the RGA raked in $33 million.
The slow bleed which has characterized his post-Bridgegate polling position, both in New Jersey and nationally, appears to have stopped. A new Quinnipaic poll found him nipping at Hillary Clinton’s heels in Virginia and outperforming all other hypothetical GOP contenders (though another survey showed voters opinions remained cooled). A fresh Monmouth University poll pegged his approval rating at just above 50% or roughly where it was the prior month.
Light at the end of the tunnel? Or just the eye of the storm? It may be the former provided that whatever the U.S. Attorney ultimately concludes doesn’t differ materially from the Governor’s internal investigation…
The next several days could prove decisive in the GOP #NJSen primary race.
Businessman Brian Goldberg appears to be on a roll with decisive wins in the key county Republican county of Ocean and battleground Cumberland, a battleground where any statewide GOP candidate needs to close the gap if they’re going to have a prayer in the general.
With that being said, Save Jerseyans, his in-hand county line total as of Friday afternoon is 4 out of 21. Mercer will decide tonight, followed by Monmouth (where Rich Pezzullo snatched a key endorsement) and Middlesex (where Sabrin almost won the screening) on Saturday, and then Atlantic on Monday, Somerset (Tuesday), and Hunterdon (next Thursday). A lot can still happen.
With whom do you stand? As of today? Who is YOUR preference to take on Cory Booker in November? Vote in our exclusive online poll below the fold, and share your rationale in the comments section…
Ocean County is furiously focused on preserving party discipline as you’re reading this post, Save Jerseyans, but based on the comments of everyone to whom I’ve spoken about it, no one thinks MacArthur will fail to lock down the line at next week’s convention.
But could MacArthur really lose with both lines? Ordinarily no, it’d be a long-shot and few will dispute that, but encouraged Lonegan backers insist this is a perfect storm situation where an unknown from outside the district (MacArthur) is facing a very well-know quantity in GOP circles (Lonegan) notwithstanding the fact that he’s also not a district native. Insiders in state party circles are taking PolitickerNJ’s commissioned CD3 poll results showing Lonegan waaay up more than a little seriously, if not literally.
I reached out to the antithesis of an insider, former Lonegan pollster and occasional Save Jersey contributor Rick Shaftan, to get a different take. The establishment “[p]icked a fight with the wrong guy, in the wrong year,” Rick insists, pointing to polling in other high-profile national GOP primaries which suggest a potentially volatile primary cycle for incumbents.
Who are you boosting in CD3 as of right now? Vote your conscience in our online poll right below the fold…
Bad polling news at home in a blue state isn’t easy to take, Save Jerseyans, but a new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll could prove decidedly more problematic for a Bridgegate-battered GOP Governor looking to go national. Some excerpts:
- “57 percent of Iowa adults disapprove of the way Christie, the New Jersey governor and one of the most-talked-about potential 2016 presidential candidates, has handled the controversy.”
- “Another 25 percent approve, and 18 percent say they’re not sure, according to the Feb. 23-26 poll of 703 Iowa adults.”
- Republicans in Iowa are a little more understanding: 47 percent disapprove of how Christie has dealt with the controversy surrounding his staff’s involvement in closing lanes on the heavily trafficked George Washington Bridge last fall as retaliation for a mayor’s refusal to support his re-election bid. Thirty-four percent approve.”
Fox News is carrying a live-stream of CPAC 2014 on Thursday, Save Jerseyans, including Governor Chris Christie’s much anticipated address at 11:45 a.m. Today’s speech comes on the heels of a brand new WashPo/ABC poll which found the RGA chieftain’s popularity down significantly relative to the rest of the probable 2016 presidential race field.
Two aren’t surprising (albeit disappointing). One is much more concerning.
The joint venture of Roanoke College in Virginia, Rutgers-Eagleton in New Jersey, and Siena College in New York found the former Secretary of State leading New Jersey’s top Republican by 8 points, 10 points and 36 points, respectively. A dissenting Virginia survey from Christopher Newport University dropped Monday found a statistical tie with Clinton ahead 43% to 41%.
Clinton led 42% to 41% at the end of November 2013.
Here’s how the other contenders fared:
Quinnipiac Poll: Bridgegate Takes Toll On Christie’s Presidential Poll Numbers
The Bridgegate controversy has had a significant negative effect on national voters opinions of Governor Chris Christie as a potential president, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.
The governor’s net favorable ratings have taken a 26 point hit since the December 11, 2013 Q Poll. Today, American voters have a favorable opinion of Christie by 33%-30% with 34% reserving judgement. In December, 47% had a favorable opinion of Christie, 23% unfavorable and 28% said they hadn’t heard enough.
With 65% support from Democratic voters, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has no significant competition for the 2016 Democratic nomination for president.
Chris Christie is striking out among the people – and the media – for only the third time since Bridgegate blew up into a national story, Save Jerseyans.
He’s falling back on his perceived strengths from a slightly weakened but seemingly secure polling position; specifically, the Sandy response and meets-and-greets with affected citizens.
Governor Christie starts his Thursday at 10:30 a.m. with Department of Community Affairs Commissioner Richard E. Constable, III at the Stafford Township Volunteer Fire Company #1 in Manahawkin meeting with Sandy victims. The pair will be over at Stafford Township Volunteer Fire Company #1 by 10:50 a.m.
Neither appearance, however, includes a press availability.