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Tag: Poll

What the Eck!

Jun. 19 Alieta Eck, Election 2013, Special Election, U.S. Senate 8 comments

By Art Gallagher | MoreMonmouthMusings.com

EckNow that she survived Steve Lonegan’s challenge to her petitions, it worth getting to know the political novice who was able to get 2,285 nominating signatures in three days, Dr. Alieta Eck.  That was a task that was too much for many seasoned politicians.

From the looks of how the Special Election Senate race is shaping up, Newark Mayor Cory Booker is going to win in a landslide anyway.  Booker has a huge lead over Assembly Speaker Sheila Oliver and Congressmen Frank Pallone and Rush Holt in the independent polls for the Democratic nomination.  Lonegan is within striking distance of Pallone, Holt and Oliver in the Monmouth University Poll released last Friday, but loses to Booker by 16 points.

The only hope for a Republican to win the Senate seat in October is for someone other than Booker to be the Democratic nominee or for Booker to be badly wounded, politically, in a bloody Democratic primary.  That doesn’t look like it is going to happen…

CONTINUE READING…

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New Poll: Christie Lead at 32pts

Jun. 14 Barbara Buono, Chris Christie, Election 2013, Polls 5 comments

Sen. Buono Stalled in Latest Rutgers-Eagleton Poll

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Chris Christie leaving SUVA new poll out this morning reinforces the status quo assessment of New Jersey’s 2013 gubernatorial election, Save Jerseyans: Chris Christie is up… big time.

32-points big. And Buono’s made virtually no polling progress in month, something that’s unlikely to change (save for the standard post-Labor Day partisan reconciliation) thanks to yesterday’s Appellate Division ruling.

But the real quick in the teeth for the Buono campaign?

“While her name recognition has climbed to 46 percent of voters from only 30 percent in April, nearly all of that increase has come from voters who now have an unfavorable impression of her,” Rutgers-Eagleton Poll Director David Redlawsk. “The onslaught of attack ads by Gov. Christie’s campaign appears to be having its desired effect.”

Perhaps Buono would’ve been better off without those goofy name pronunciation ads! Shocker…

Click here to check out the full polling report.

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Dems Not Interested in November

Jun. 13 Election 2013, Polls, Special Election, U.S. Senate 3 comments

POLL: Christie’s ‘October Logic’ was Likely Right on the Money; Democrats Much More Interested in Voting for Booker Than Buono

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Corzine Democrats BannerChris Christie is up over Barbara Buono by 30 points ahead of November. Cory Booker leads his Democrat primary field for August and the potential GOP challengers heading into October. No surprises thus far, Save Jerseyans.

The most interesting aspect of Patrick Murray’s latest Monmouth University poll concern a potential turnout model for this fall’s elections:

Current voter models suggest that turnout for the November general election will be about 45% of registered voters.  This is slightly lower than the 47% to 49% turnout levels New Jersey has seen in gubernatorial races over the past decade.  The U.S. Senate race in October appears likely to result in even lower turnout, currently pegged at about 40% compared to a more typical 46% to 48% turnout.  The Monmouth University Poll’s likely voter model is based on a combination of past voting history from voter registration files and self-reported intention to vote in either the October special election or the November general election.

CONTINUE READING….

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Sandy’s Not the Whole Story

Jun. 12 Chris Christie, Election 2013, Hurricane Sandy, Jersey Shore, Polls 1 comment

The Truth: Christie’s Poll Numbers Were High Before Sandy Struck… Back When He Was a Republican Hero!

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Hurricane Sandy SurveyA brand new poll from the Rutgers-Eagleton Institute hit the web early this morning, Save Jerseyans, and the results continue to show broad-based, bipartisan electoral support for Governor Chris Christie…

While Republicans (87 percent), Democrats (85 percent), and independents (88 percent) all overwhelmingly approve Christie’s post-Sandy recovery efforts, partisans show double-digit differences in their support for Christie on virtually every other issue. Division is particularly strong on what most voters continue to say are the two most important problems in New Jersey – the economy (including jobs) and taxes. Just 41 percent of all voters approve Christie’s handling of these issues, with support among Democrats at just over one-quarter, while more than 60 percent of Republicans approve.

The effects of Sandy continue to buoy Christie’s overall ratings: 70 percent approve of his job performance, 64 percent have a favorable impression, and 58 percent award Christie an A or B for his work. Overall ratings show little change from the last Rutgers-Eagleton Poll in April 2013.”

So yes, the Sandy aftermath continues to significantly enhance Governor Christie’s job approval rating. I’m not trying to be a pain in the rear, folks, but “buoy” may not be the most accurate word choice…

CONTINUE READING….

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#NJSen GOP Primary Poll

Jun. 10 Republican Party, Special Election, U.S. Senate 24 comments

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

SenateSteve Lonegan looks like the frontrunner today as petitions are filed in Trenton, Save Jerseyans; he’s locking up establishment backing, has considerable grassroots support after years of running campaigns and working with AFP-NJ, and as a direct result of these past activities, is the only GOP contender with register-able (is that a word?) name recognition.

But he won’t be the only one on the ballot this August 13th… we’ll learn more about Dr. Eck over the next several weeks, too.

Who are YOU supporting in the Republican U.S. Senate special primary?

Who Are You Supporting in August’s GOP #NJSen Primary?
  
pollcode.com free polls 
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Christie Nears Hilldawg, Ties Bush

May. 15 Chris Christie, Election 2016, National 7 comments

New Poll Predicts Potentially Tight 4-Way Race for GOP Nomination

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Clinton and CorzinePublic Policy Polling (PPP), a respected national Democrat-affiliated organization (not always an oxymoronic designation, btw), has released the results of its latest 2016 presidential survey. No surprises.

The prospective GOP Primary pack remains tight; Marco Rubio (16%), Jeb Bush (15%), Chris Christie (15%) and Rand Paul (14%) occupy a field of support with only a 2-point distribution. Oof! It’s anyone’s game as of today, Save Jerseyans, assuming you accept PPP’s data/methodology. I have no reason not to accept it.

And according to PPP, despite potential primary problems looming, the Governor of New Jersey continues to poll the strongest against a Benghazi-embattled Hilldawg of any named GOP’er:

Chris Christie continues to be the only potential Republican candidate who polls competitively with Clinton, trailing her just 47/44. Christie has a 40/32 favorability with Democrats, making him the only potential 2016 contender with any crossover appeal. Clinton holds identical 10 point leads at 51/41 over Paul and Rubio.”

Click here to read PPP’s full analysis and data tables.

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More Now Than Ever

May. 10 Abortion, Cultural Issues 6 comments

New Poll: Strong Majorities Oppose Abortion

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

I’ve always strongly disagreed with those in the GOP who believe abortion is a losing electoral issue.

Here’s more proof to support my contention: the newly-released results of a Gallup poll, out this week, show 58% of American adults opposing abortion either entirely or in most circumstances. The interesting part? That number includes 57% of adults in the 18 to 34 year old age cohort; only 29% of millennial support abortion without access restrictions…

Imagine what that number might be if stories akin to the Gosnell trial were reported openly and honestly from Day #1?

Gallup Poll - Abortion

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Two for Tea No More?

May. 09 Tea Party 3 comments

Marist/NBC Poll Is Bad News For New Jersey Tea Parties

By Art Gallagher | MoreMonmouthMusings.com

TeaWe The People of New Jersey do not support the Tea Party or Second Amendment movements, according to an Marist/NBC poll released this morning.

72% of the 1080 self identified New Jersey registered voters who responded to the poll said “No” when asked if they considered themselves supporters of the Tea Party movement. 19% said “Yes” and 9% were unsure.

The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3 % and only questioned 22% of the amount of people that Leigh-Ann Bellew’s campaign surveyed, just in the 13th legislative district, two weeks ago.

CONTINUE READING…

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