Will slow and steady win the race?
New Jersey Republicans closed their registration gap with Democrats by another 1,832 voters statewide in April 2025, bringing the Democrats advantage down to a still formidable 827,857:
U + 2,980
R + 2,317
D + 485
However (and this is a big however, Save Jerseyans), the current Democrat statewide edge of 827,857 is down from what was then a 1.079 million Democrat firewall on Election Day 2020. The trend of GOP gains and Democrat stagnation has been consistent since Joe Biden took office back in January 2021 through the present.
When Chris Christie unseated Jon Corzine in 2009, the gap was *only* D+ 704,678.
In 2021, Jack Ciattarelli lost by a little more than 80,000 votes when the gap was a few hundred thousand voters worse for the GOP.
What does all of this mean? The math SHOULD work for Republicans in 2025 assuming they (1) nominate a candidate with the right message and (2) the national environment doesn’t deteriorate. Stay tuned.
