The (very) early going is promising for New Jersey Republicans and Jack Ciattarelli, Save Jerseyans.
As of Friday (9/26) morning, 23.6% of returned ballots were Republican while Democrats unsurprisingly were out in front at 63.8%. That’s obviously a large margin, but New Jersey Democrats are down 4.8-points from the same day last cycle (2024) while Garden State Republicans are up 4.6-points, a cumulative net 9.4-point swing in the GOP’s favor:
Democrat: 63.8% [-4.8]
Republican: 23.6% [+4.6]
Other: 12.6%
This is 3.5-points better than the GOP did on this same day in 2021.
Remember: Donald Trump only lost New Jersey by 5.9-points last year.
Ciattarelli only lost by 3 in 2021.
One week of vote by mail is hardly a “trend,” sure, but if the current shift continues, Republicans will find themselves in a much better position to cut into the Democrats’ early edge when in-person voting commences on October 25th across all 21 counties.
