A GOP super PAC called United 2024 has Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in New Jersey.
The former president is ahead 43%-41% in a two-way contest and tied in a multi-candidate race (though it seems unlikely that RFK Jr. will appear on the New Jersey ballot).
It’s fair to say that this is officially a trend.
A recent co/efficient poll found Trump up 1-point.
Back in the spring, Emerson had a 5-point race.
No Republican presidential candidate has carried New Jersey since 1988.