Tomorrow is arguably the biggest day in the GOP Primary season since the last biggest day in the GOP primary season. With every new contest there are renewed claims from the media that the day could be Mitt Romney’s undoing, that if Rick Santorum somehow overtakes him in X state, it will send a shock through the process and harm Romney’s future prospects.
Time and time again we have found that prediction wanting. Romney, while not winning with the level of haste he would prefer (he can’t change the calendar, folks), has been resilient and taken each state in stride, win or lose. After a strong debate performance last week, it seems that the former Massachusetts Governor it back on the upswing when most had already written him off in his “home” state of Michigan, and across the country.
According to the latest Rasmussen poll, which seems to mirror the results of Gallup and others, Mitt Romney is now leading Rick Santorum by a small, yet clear, margin.
Romney leads the pack in Michigan with 38% with Santorum trailing at 36%. Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul, who do not seem to be competing heavily in that state, are clocking in at their usual 10% and 11% respectively.
In Arizona, where Romney enjoys the endorsement of Senator John McCain and Governor Jan Brewer, a conservative favorite, his numbers fair even better. Romney leads there with 42% of the vote compared to Santorum’s 29%. The trend in Arizona has been moving in Mitt’s favor as he has picked up points at Santorum’s expense over the last few weeks. In this state, Gingrich commands a 16% slice while Ron Paul clocks in at only 8%.
Nationwide, Romney now holds his first lead over President Obama in the Rasmussen poll since December 2011. Not only does he beat the President 45% to 43%, but he also holds a 9 point advantage with independent voters. This has been, and will continue to be, Romney’s principle argument for his electability. It is worth noting that Congressman Paul also leads the President by 2 points. However, 17% of Republicans surveyed said that they would vote for a third option, or presumably not vote at all. This lack of ability to turn out a significant portion of the base, who according to the poll would still vote for Romney even if they had to hold their nose, makes Paul’s prospects for victory less convincing. Santorum and Gingrich both trail President Obama.
If Romney can pull off victories in both Arizona and Michigan tomorrow, it is likely that he will see a jump in his national polling numbers among Republicans and an uptick in fundraising, where he already holds a significant advantage over his opponents. This seems like the best prospect for avoiding a brokered convention, which would likely be the worst thing to happen to a Republican Presidential campaign since John McCain suspended his campaign to pass TARP and Sarah Palin couldn’t name a single thing she’s ever read.
Ok..so I get that you're a cheerleader…but there ARE differing polls…
Poll: Obama holds double digit leads over Romney and Santorum
mug.steinhauser
Posted by
CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser
Washington (CNN) – President Barack Obama holds double digit leads over the top two GOP presidential candidates, according to a new national survey.
A Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll released Monday indicates Obama topping former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 53% to 43% in a hypothetical general election matchup, with the president leading former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania 53% to 42%.
Matched up against a generic GOP opponent in the general election (an unnamed candidate who has not suffered negative attacks during the primary process), Obama has a five-point advantage (50%-45%), up from a dead heat back in November. It's also telling that the president is at or above 50% in all three general election matchups.
A new national poll from USA Today/Gallup tells a different story. According to the survey, which was also released Monday, Obama and Romney are deadlocked at 47% in a hypothetical matchup, with Santorum holding a 49%-46% margin over the president.
The Battleground poll indicates that the debates, caucuses and primaries appear to be taking a toll on Romney, with 51% of independent voters holding a unfavorable opinion of him, compared to just 33% who see him in a positive light. Among independents, Romney trails the president by 22 points in the hypothetical general election matchup. Forty percent of independents have a favorable view of Santorum, with 32% saying they see him in a negative way.
I Am One Of Those People That Hates The Bandwagon Mentality. toparticlemoney.info
Remember this poll in January 1980, the Gallup Poll showed:
Carter 63%
Reagan 32% Ron Paul is the only candidate that can beat Obama . Obama 49.0%
Romney 43.3%
Obama 50.0%
Santorum 42.5%
Obama 53.0%
Gingrich 39.1%
Obama 48.6 %
Paul 40.4%
Here's one of Ron Pauls nutty ideas that went bad…
78 illnesses linked to Pa. dairy's raw milk
HARRISBURG, PA. — State health officials say 78 bacterial infections have been linked to a central Pennsylvania dairy, making it the worst illness outbreak related to raw milk in the state’s history.
Officials say 68 cases of campylobacter bacteria linked to unpasteurized milk from The Family Cow dairy have been reported in Pennsylvania with five in Maryland, three in West Virginia and two in New Jersey.
The Patriot-News of Harrisburg (http://bit.ly/zRJbtL ) reports nine people had to be hospitalized for their illnesses.
The Franklin County began selling milk again on Feb. 6 after being cleared by the state’s Department of Agriculture. The dairy owner says a new lab is being built and milk tested daily.
Seventy-two people were sickened by raw milk from a Lancaster County dairy in 2008.