ANTI-POLITICIAN REVOLT: Trump, Carson now tied for first in Iowa

WALKER FADES WHILE BUSH, CHRISTIE FAIL TO REMAIN COMPETITIVE

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

The so-called “permanent political class” in D.C. is taking it on the chops this summer, Save Jerseyans, and in no poll has it been more pronounced than today’s newly-released Monmouth University survey results (click here for the full polling report):

 

August

2015

July

2015

Jeb Bush

5%

7%

Ben Carson

23%

8%

Chris Christie

1%

1%

Ted Cruz

9%

7%

Carly Fiorina

10%

3%

Jim Gilmore

0%

0%

Lindsey Graham

0%

0%

Mike Huckabee

2%

6%

Bobby Jindal

1%

4%

John Kasich

4%

2%

George Pataki

<1%

<1%

Rand Paul

3%

5%

Rick Perry

1%

3%

Marco Rubio

4%

5%

Rick Santorum

2%

3%

Donald Trump

23%

13%

Scott Walker

7%

22%

(VOL) Other

0%

0%

(VOL) Undecided

5%

11%

(n)

405

452

We’ve still got a several months to go, yes, but still, while the likes of Jeb! Bush (who has a net-negative favorability rating) and Chris Christie (barely registering support at 1%) never expected to win Iowa, they certainly never would’ve believed they’d be languishing in the LOW single digits as of September 2015…

The trend gets even MORE pronounced when you look at the results from the “second choice” question:

 

August

2015

July

2015

Jeb Bush

5%

6%

Ben Carson

12%

6%

Chris Christie

3%

2%

Ted Cruz

13%

7%

Carly Fiorina

8%

3%

Jim Gilmore

0%

<1%

Lindsey Graham

<1%

<1%

Mike Huckabee

5%

5%

Bobby Jindal

6%

8%

John Kasich

2%

1%

George Pataki

0%

<1%

Rand Paul

3%

4%

Rick Perry

2%

5%

Marco Rubio

8%

9%

Rick Santorum

1%

3%

Donald Trump

10%

9%

Scott Walker

9%

13%

(VOL) Other

0%

0%

(VOL) No one

6%

4%

(VOL) Undecided

7%

15%

(n)

405

452

“These results mark a significant shake-up in the leaderboard from Monmouth’s Iowa poll taken before the first debate,” explained Patrick Murray, director of West Branch’s Monmouth University Polling Institute, who recently told The Hill how Trump’s favorability flip “defies any rule in presidential politics” observed by political pollsters. “Carson and, to a lesser extent, Fiorina have surged, while Walker has faded into the background.”

My take?

These results are DRAMATIC. There’s still plenty of time for things to change, Save Jersey, but the “establishment” campaigns can no longer assume Trump is simply going to fade away. They’re going to need to confront him, and figure out how to do it effectively. Very soon.

_______

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