RESULTS *** LIVE ***
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CLINTON – 215
47.0%
TRUMP – 255
48.4%
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11:53 p.m.
Trump is on track to win Michigan (75% chance says the NYT). If he takes it? Game over.
10:30 p.m.
OK, change of plans: We're designating Michigan as "too close to call", resetting odds to 50/50 there. Clinton EC odds way down as a result.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 9, 2016
10:09 p.m. – A note of caution… Trump still needs a “blue wall” state tonight to toppled the Clinton candidacy. That’s the bad news. The good news? His path is reasonably open with the high number of states still in play.
9:35 p.m. – Nearly 50% in for NJ-05 and Scott Garrett is 10% behind his Democrat challenger…
9:12 p.m. – 413 of 458 Districts Reporting in Monmouth County, Republican Serena DiMaso is on top of Democrat Matt Doherty by 16,000 votes. Republicans are now favored to hold all its seats on the freeholder board. We called it.
8:58 p.m.
8:43 p.m. – Update from Monmouth County’s tight freeholder battle…
8:36 p.m. – Rubio!!!!!
8:28 p.m. – First really good GOP news of the night!
Whoo! Go Todd Young. First really good Republican news of the evening.
— Matt Rooney (@MattRooneyNJ) November 9, 2016
Young’s victory, once seriously in doubt, makes the Democrats’ battle to retake the Senate a bit harder…
8:25 p.m. – Some internal GOP numbers….
Pres
GA – Trump up 3
VA – HRC up 8
NC – HRC up 2
OH – tie
FL – HRC up 2
PA – HRC up 5
NH – HRC up 6
NV – HRC up 5
IA – Trump up 1
MI – HRC up 5
Sen
IN – R up 4
NC – tie
FL – R up 3
MO – D up 4
NH – D up 5
PA – D up 5
WI – D up 5
NV – D in 3
8:19 p.m. – Expect Nate Silver’s % to swing dramatically for or against Trump depending on what happens in Florida….
8:19 update. #ElectionNight https://t.co/4dfUMs75Cj pic.twitter.com/rZbueKITEv
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) November 9, 2016
8:00 p.m. – A surprise to no one….
Fox News projects @HillaryClinton wins New Jersey. #ElectionNight #FoxNews2016 pic.twitter.com/ciaGXXXBT4
— Fox News (@FoxNews) November 9, 2016
7:46 p.m. – New Hampshire results trickling in….
Trump wins Rochester-03 and Seabrook in NH.
— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 9, 2016
7:37 p.m. – Regarding the EC map for Trump? From a former RNC guy / N.J. friend who knows: “Rubio up 16 points now in Duval County (Jacksonville). Trump up by only 2. If this pattern holds, I can’t see how Trump pulls Florida out (if he’s running 14 points behind Rubio). Very concerning.”
6:23 p.m. – via Matt Rooney:
Looks like Marco Rubio will win tonight… easily. If Trump loses there? Quite the role reversal from several months ago.
— Matt Rooney (@MattRooneyNJ) November 9, 2016
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