PARSIPPANY, N.J. — This year’s contest to replace retiring Republican Congressman Rodney Frelinghuysen is living up to its reputation as a close fought battle.
According to a Monmouth University Poll report released Wednesday, Democrat Mikie Sherrill leads Republican Jay Webber inside the margin of error: 40% to 38%.
Another 20% are undecided four months out.
Sherrill’s statistically small lead is attributable to Democrat enthusiasm in the district; she’s backed by 92% of Democrats whereas only 78% of Republicans are declaring for Webber.
Self-identified Democrats are more enthusiastic than self-identified Republicans by a 19-point margin.
“Right now this race is more about underlying partisan enthusiasm than it is about either of the two major party candidates because, to be frank, most voters don’t know much about either one of them. There is still a lot of room for movement in this race with the high number of undecided voters and low level of knowledge about the candidates,” opined Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
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