Trafalgar Poll: Murphy’s lead is only at 4.2% but it could be closing

A Trafalgar Poll is out in New Jersey, Save Jerseyans, and it shows a closer race than other public pollsters who’ve pegged the race at a high single digit to low double digit Murphy-Oliver lead. The survey conducted over Halloween weekend found Phil Murphy head of Jack Ciattarelli by 4.2-points, but Trafalgar also says the Democrat incumbent’s margin “may shrink based on late decider preferences.”

You can click here to view the full report.

Almost every poll with the notable exception of Monmouth University shows Ciattarelli up by a double-digit margin with unaffiliated voters.

Something worth noting as you try to weight this one in your mind: the Trafalgar sample is D+18, but through Halloween (when early voting ended), the returns were D+13…

Matt Rooney
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MATT ROONEY is SaveJersey.com's founder and editor-in-chief, a practicing New Jersey attorney, and the host of 'The Matt Rooney Show' on 1210 WPHT every Sunday evening from 7-10PM EST.