There’s a lot to unpack in the final Quantus Insights poll which showed a tight race (49% to 46% in Mikie Sherrill’s favor), Save Jerseyans, but here’s the finding that really jumps out at me:
Jack Ciattarelli is leading Sherrill by 21-points (60% to 39%) among those who plan to vote on Election Day.
Why’s that a big deal? Aside from the obvious?
Ciattarelli won the Election Day vote by 12 points back in 2021 and famously fell only 3 points short of defeating Governor Phil Murphy. If Jack Ciattarelli really does outpace his 2021 Election Day showing by almost 10 points? It’s hard to see a scenario where Mikie Sherrill holds on.
Click here to read the full polling report.
Also of note: Jack has a +7 lead in enthusiasm (a common finding in most 2025 gubernatorial surveys) and a +6 lead among who voters believe their social circle/neighbors are supporting.
