A new Stockton poll shows Phil Murphy leading Jack Ciattarelli by 9-points with just over a month left to go before Election Day. The incumbent leads 50% to 41% based on the survey conducted between September 17th and September 25th (before Tuesday’s debate).
Click here to see the full results.
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There’s a common theme emerging:
Voters prefer the Republican on taxes but continue to believe that the governor did an okay job addressing COVID-19.
Still, despite Murphy’s relatively decisive lead, slightly more New Jerseyans believe the state is headed in the wrong direction (45.5%) than those who believe we’re headed in the right direction (44.3%).
“Even though this result is a statistical tie, an incumbent wants more people feeling good about how things are going in the state,” said John Froonjian, the current director of Stockton’s Hughes Center.
A recent Monmouth poll pegged the race at somewhere between 9 and 14 points depending upon the turnout model. Two Republicans polls said it was a statistical dead heat with Murphy ahead by just 1 and 3 points, respectively.
Stockton’s own track record is mixed. They were pretty on point with their 2017 gubernatorial poll, but they missed the 2019 LD1 end result by 21-points.
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