DCCC Poll: Belgard +1 in NJ-03

By Matt Rooney | The Save Jersey Blog

Aimee Belgard (left) and Tom MacArthur (right)
Aimee Belgard (left) and Tom MacArthur (right)

Consider the source, Save Jerseyans, but the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) believes their polling verifies the effectiveness of its multi-million dollar NJ-03 smear campaign. My words, not the DCCC’s.

Details: the results of an internal DCCC poll obtained by CQ Roll Call put the race to succeed Jon Runyan at 43% to 42% in Aimee Belgard’s favor, representing the first time that she’s led any survey, public or internal.

This automated survey polled 603 likely voters between 9/27 and 9/28. The margin of error was 4-points. Two weeks ago, prior to the first debate (which I doubt next to anyone saw since it was on NJTV in the middle of a weekday), the DCCC said MacArthur had a 3-point lead.

Debate #2 is scheduled for this Thursday evening, October 2nd at William Allen Middle School in Moorestown.


6 thoughts on “DCCC Poll: Belgard +1 in NJ-03

  1. I don’t believe it. ESPECIALLY since it is a DCCC poll, which normally tries to discourage Republican voters. Have you looked at the internals to see how it’s weighted? They tend to weight their own polls heavily with Democrats. Is it D vs R voters or LIKELY voters?

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