Final Monmouth U. Poll Shows Dead Heat: Romney 48, Obama 48

The latest Monmouth University Poll of national likely voters reflects what we’re seeing from the other national public polls, Save Jerseyans…

A dead heat: 48% to 48%.

Today’s Rasmussen and Gallup tracking polls (11/5/12) both show a 1-point Romney lead.

The key Monmouth findings?

  • Murray’s poll assumes a D+4 electorate/turnout model (in reality, it was dead even in ’04 and D+7 in ’08).
  • Romney posts a 16-point lead with Independents.
  • Romney trails with women by 5-points but leads among men by 7-points.
  • Romney wins 59% of white voters.
  • Romney maintains a 4-point lead on the economy and the federal budget.
  • Romney’s unfavorable rating (41%) is lower than Obama’s (44%).

Click here to view the full report, data tables and analysis.

If you missed our Save Jersey electoral college projections this morning, you can find them here.

 

Matt Rooney
About Matt Rooney 8405 Articles
MATT ROONEY is SaveJersey.com's founder and editor-in-chief, a practicing New Jersey attorney, and the host of 'The Matt Rooney Show' on 1210 WPHT every Sunday evening from 7-10PM EST.